Inside Financial Markets

Asian stocks tumble, yen stands tall as Ukraine crisis darkens mood

Pedestrians walk past an electronic board showing various stock prices outside a brokerage in Tokyo Asian stocks tumble, yen stands tall as Ukraine crisis darkens mood

(Reuters) – Asian shares dropped to a one-month low and the yen pushed higher on Friday, as heightened tension in Ukraine ahead of a weekend referendum drove investors out of riskier assets.

Solid U.S. retail sales and employment data also reinforced expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will stick to its plan of gradually withdrawing its asset-buying stimulus, while Thursday’s disappointing Chinese economic data continued to add to the gloom.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS fell 1.1 percent, touching its lowest level since mid-February and on track for a weekly loss of more than 2 percent.

Japan’s Nikkei stock average .N225 skidded 2.7 percent to a one-month low, on track for a weekly loss of more than 5 percent, as the currency soared.

“Investors are unwinding their long positions in the Nikkei and short positions in the yen,” said Kyoya Okazawa, head of global equities and commodity derivatives at BNP Paribas.

“Short-term sellers like commodity trading advisors are also big players today and they are also reacting to the falling copper price,” he added.

Russia launched new military exercises near its border with Ukraine on Thursday, even as the U.S. cautioned that Moscow risked facing serious steps if annexation was the outcome of a referendum planned for Sunday in the Crimea.

The latest developments in the Ukraine crisis sent the perennial safe-haven yen soaring against both the dollar and the euro.

The greenback was down about 0.2 percent on Friday at 101.70 yen, wallowing close to a more than one-week trough of 101.54 yen hit on Thursday, when it tumbled more than one yen from a session high of 102.86 yen.

The common currency slipped about 0.2 percent on the day to 140.97 yen, after a precipitous fall on Thursday from a session high of 143.38 yen to a low of 140.70 yen.

TAPER ON TRACK

U.S. data reinforced perceptions that the central bank will stick to its stimulus withdrawal. Retail sales rose 0.3 percent last month, ending two straight months of declines, while separate data from the Labor Department showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped to their lowest level since late November.

“Incoming data in the U.S. suggest the economy is emerging from weather-related distortions to activity,” strategists at Barclays wrote in a note to clients.

“We continue to expect the Fed to taper its monthly pace of asset purchases by another $10 billion at its meeting next week,” they said.

On Wall Street on Thursday, benchmark U.S. stock indices fell more than 1.0 percent, posting their biggest daily losses since early February, with the S&P500 stock index .SPX tumbling 1.17 percent.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note inched down to 2.652 percent in Asian trading from its U.S. close of 2.653 percent.

Data on Thursday showed China’s industrial output growth fell short of forecasts for the combined January/February period, and retail sales also came in weaker than expected. The disappointing figures fuelled fears of a slowdown in the world’s second biggest economy.

That continued to weigh on the Australian dollar, considered a proxy for China plays. The Aussie lost about 0.1 percent to $0.9023.

The euro also remained under pressure after comments from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, who said the bank has been preparing additional policy steps to guard against deflation taking hold in the euro zone.

The single currency was down about 0.1 percent at $1.3861, moving away from Thursday’s 2-1/2 year high of $1.3967 hit before Draghi spoke.

On the commodities front, copper slipped 0.2 percent to $6,403 a tonne, on track for its biggest weekly loss since April, on expectations of slower demand growth in China.

Gold, a safe-haven favourite, was on track for its sixth straight weekly rise, up about 0.1 percent to $1,371.18 an ounce after earlier hitting a fresh six-month high.

Brent crude held steady above $107 a barrel but remained on track for its third weekly loss, while U.S. crude edged down to $98.16 a barrel.

Sanie Khan

Sanie Khan holds a deep knowledge of the financial markets in Pakistan. Based in Karachi, he has over 20 years of hands-on management experience in financial technologies and managing operations in the financial sector. He was the General Manager at the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) for 17 years. He along-with senior members of Exchange

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Inside Financial Markets was a joint publication of Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX)and Society of Technical Analysts Pakistan (STAP)