Inside Financial Markets

Asian Stocks Slump as China falls Paces Up

Asian stocks slumped to 3-year lows on Monday as a slump in Chinese equities gathered pace, hastening an exodus from riskier assets as fears of a China-led global economic slowdown churned world markets.

A 2.6 percent fall in S&P 500 mini futures ESc1 to a 10-month trough during Asian trading hours suggested the falls could continue later in the global session.

Safe-haven government bonds and the yen rallied on the widespread unrest in the financial markets, set in motion nearly two weeks ago when China sharply devalued the yuan and stoked concerns about the state of its economy.

“Markets are panicking. Things are starting look like the Asian financial crisis in the late 1990s. Speculators are selling assets that seem the most vulnerable,” said Takako Masai, the head of research at Shinsei Bank in Tokyo.

Copper, seen as a barometer of global demand, tumbled to six-year lows as the anxiety over China sapped investor confidence.

Bourses from Japan to Indonesia were hit hard as Chinese stocks plummeted from the open on Monday, with investors failing to take heart from the formalization of rules over the weekend – allowing pension funds to invest in the stock market.

Shanghai shares .SSEC dived 8.5 percent to a 5-1/2 month low, wiping out this year’s gains. [.SS]

“The market is in a downtrend. There’s no good news, stocks are still expensive, and there’s no fresh money coming in,” said Qi Yifeng, analyst at consultancy CEBM.

“With no RRR (reserve requirement) cut over the weekend, the market will directly head south.”

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS duly sank over 4.6 percent to a three-year low. Tokyo’s Nikkei .N225 was down 4 percent and Australian shares retreated to a two-year trough.

“China could be forced to devalue the yuan even more, should its economy falter, and the equity markets are dealing with the prospect of a weaker yuan amplifying the negative impact from a sluggish Chinese economy,” said Eiji Kinouchi, chief technical analyst at Daiwa Securities in Tokyo.

Indonesia’s stock index .JKSE fell 3 percent in early Monday trade to its lowest point since January 2014, as the global market sold off on deepening concerns about a slowdown in China’s economy. [MKTS/GLOB]

A Caixin/Markit PMI survey on Friday showed Chinese manufacturing activity shrank at the fastest pace since 2009.

Even before the Chinese markets opened, stocks in Asia took a beating after fears of a China-led global economic slowdown drove Wall Street, previously seen as a safe-haven, to its steepest one-day drop in nearly four years on Friday.

Emerging market economies, many reliant on exporting raw materials, have been hit particularly hard by the specter of slower Chinese growth and sliding commodities.

South Africa’s rand ZAR= struggled at 14-year lows. The Turkish lira, its plight exacerbated by domestic political developments, languished near a record low.

The Malaysian ringgit hit a 17-year low MYR=MY.

For some, the speed of their currency’s fall appeared to have prompted an intervention. South Korean authorities were suspected of selling dollars to arrest the won’s KRW= fall.

Although its decline was not as grave, the dollar also suffered against key peers such as the euro and yen as global growth worries undermined wagers that the Fed will raise rates in September.

The dollar was down 0.8 percent at 121.00 yen JPY= after hitting a six-week low of 120.73. The euro soared to a 6-1/2 month high of $1.1496.

The U.S. currency came under additional pressure as Treasury yields extended their decline on safety buying alongside the slide in equities. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield US10YT=RR touched a four-month low below 2 percent.

Brent and U.S. crude oil futures hit fresh 6-1/2-year lows as concerns about a global supply glut added to worries over potentially weaker demand from China. [O/R]

U.S. crude was down 2.6 percent at $39.39 a barrel CLc1 while Brent LCOc1 lost 2.1 percent to $44.52 a barrel.

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange CMCU3 reached the six-year low of $4,935 a tonne. Aluminum CMAL3 also slid to its lowest since 2009, fetching $1,540 a tonne.

Baqar Hussain

A Wannabe CFO, just had stepped in the corporate sector, willing to explore every aspect here and learn as mush as i can, awareness for those who dont, get the info where ever possible and stay up to date always.

The Canadian Securities Institute


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Inside Financial Markets was a joint publication of Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX)and Society of Technical Analysts Pakistan (STAP)