Inside Financial Markets



TOKYO, Feb 28 (Reuters) – Asian stocks managed to shrug off early losses on Friday and push higher, inspired by gains on Wall Street after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen’s comments underscored her confidence in the U.S. economy.

Yellen’s testimony to a Senate committee helped the S&P 500  .SPX shrug off fears of rising tension in Ukraine and Russia and close at a record high. But the fear factor still helped the yen rise against the dollar and euro on its traditional safe-haven appeal.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan  .MIAPJ0000PUS rose 0.2 percent, on track for a weekly gain, while Tokyo’s Nikkei stock average  .N225 erased most losses and ended the morning session just a few ticks shy of flat.

Tokyo got some help from data showing Japanese factory output rose in January at the fastest pace in more than two years and core inflation stood close to a five-year high. (Full Story)

Optimism about the Japanese economy will likely support the mood even as wariness might cap the upside, said Hikaru Sato, a senior technical analyst at Daiwa Securities in Tokyo.

“Investors are avoiding risks as they are staying cautious about the situation in Ukraine and emerging markets’ assets,” Sato said.

Yellen said on Thursday the Fed will continue to determine whether recently severe winter weather was behind recent signs of weakness, and reemphasised that it would take a “significant change” to the economic outlook to sway the Fed from its plans to taper its stimulus.

“Her openness bolstered risk appetite because it assures a gradual course of tapering by the central bank with the only risk being a smaller and not larger reduction,” BK Asset Management managing director Kathy Lien said in a note to clients.

An unexpected rise in U.S. durable goods orders, excluding transportation, also helped distract investors from an increasingly unstable situation in Ukraine. (Full Story)

Armed men seized the parliament in Ukraine’s Crimea region on Thursday and raised the Russian flag. (Full Story)

Fighter jets along Russia’s western borders were on combat alert, the Defence Ministry was quoted as saying on Thursday by Interfax news agency. (Full Story)

The unrest prompted investors to seek the safety of U.S. Treasuries, pushing yields to two-week lows. The yield on the 10-year note inched up to 2.647 percent  US10YT=RR in Asia, from its U.S. close of 2.642 on Thursday.

The dollar’s early gains against the yen unravelled, with the U.S. unit shedding about 0.3 percent to 101.86 yen  JPY=, moving back toward a one-week low of 101.70 yen touched on Thursday.

“Isolated incidents from Ukraine will continue to move the dollar at least until elections are held there in May,” said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief strategist at Praevidentia Strategy in Tokyo.

“Any losses the dollar suffers against the yen will be temporary, however, as bargain hunters will be ready each time, supported by the notion that real military conflict will be unlikely,” Yamamoto added.

The euro  EUR= was nearly flat on the day at $1.3707, pulling away from the previous session’s two-week low of $1.3641.

It also surrendered territory to the yen, losing 0.3 percent to 139.62  EURJPY=R, moving back in the direction of a more than two-week low of 138.75 yen touched on Thursday.

China’s yuan  CNY=CFXS, meanwhile, has fallen 0.8 percent against the dollar for the week and is set for the biggest weekly loss on record.

In commodities trading, gold prices were flat with spot gold  XAU= trading at $1,332.35, but was on track for its fourth week of gains.

Oil slipped, taking its cues from unrest in the Ukraine, with Brent crude  LCOc1 down about 0.1 percent at $108.89 a barrel. U.S. oil  CLc1 was down 0.3 percent at $102.07, but it was still on track for a monthly gain of over 4 percent.

Sanie Khan

Sanie Khan holds a deep knowledge of the financial markets in Pakistan. Based in Karachi, he has over 20 years of hands-on management experience in financial technologies and managing operations in the financial sector. He was the General Manager at the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) for 17 years. He along-with senior members of Exchange

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Inside Financial Markets was a joint publication of Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX)and Society of Technical Analysts Pakistan (STAP)